/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
-
Igor Paixão
22'
-
Igor Paixão
41'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
48'
-
Geoffrey Kondogbia
62'
-
Giuliano Simeone
5'
-
Robin Le Normand
17'
-
Rodrigo Mendoza
39'
-
Carlos Martín
78'
Marseille vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
Marseille
49.36%
▲
(+0.26)
Draw
24.14%
▼
(-0.11)
Atletico Madrid
26.49%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
60.81%
▲
(+0.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.56%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
17.44%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 2.5
61.91%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
38.09%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 3.5
40.37%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 3.5
59.63%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 4.5
25.22%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 4.5
74.78%
▼
(-0.57)
First Half Winner
Marseille
39.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
37.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Atletico Madrid
22.57%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Marseille
57.91%
▲
(+0.18)
No Goal
4.85%
▼
(-0.12)
Atletico Madrid
37.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
58.84%
▼
(-0.28)
Equal 8
11.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
29.95%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 9
47.36%
▼
(-0.26)
Equal 9
11.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
41.16%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 10.5
36.56%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 10.5
63.44%
▲
(+0.22)
Marseille Goals
Over 1.5
53.58%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
46.42%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 2.5
28.33%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 2.5
71.67%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 3.5
12.63%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
87.37%
▼
(-0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
64.75%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
35.25%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
34.37%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
65.63%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
13.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
86.29%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
4.73%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
95.27%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Marseille
49.36%
Draw
24.14%
Atletico Madrid
26.49%
Marseille
2-1
@
9.27%
▼
(-0.10)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 12.04% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 49.36%
1-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 12.04% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 49.36%
Draw
1-1
@
10.24%
▼
(-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.14%
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.14%
Atletico Madrid
1-2
@
6.45%
▼
(-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 26.49%