Mansfield Town and Middlesbrough will put on hold their respective playoff pushes when they meet in the FA Cup third round at Field Mill on Saturday.
Both sides are in excellent form, with the Stags currently ninth in League Two and Boro occupying seventh in the Championship.
Match preview
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Mansfield have not played since a 3-2 win over Hartlepool United on Boxing Day – their fifth consecutive victory.
Nigel Clough's side have won 10 of their last 11 matches in all competitions, a run which has seen them rise from League Two's relegation zone to three points behind the playoffs.
No team in the fourth tier have picked up more points on home turf this season and the Stags have won their last six games at Field Mill; not losing there since the start of October.
Mansfield have knocked out League One sides Sunderland and Doncaster Rovers in the FA Cup so far this campaign, but have only progressed past the third round once in the last 34 years.
That occasion came in 2008 when they faced Middlesbrough in round four – the most recent meeting between the two sides – and Gareth Southgate's Boro team won 2-0 at Field Mill.
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The Teessiders were a Premier League outfit back then and fans are dreaming of a return to the top flight under Chris Wilder, who has lost just once in eight games since succeeding Neil Warnock at the start of November.
Boro are only one point behind the Championship top six after winning five of their last six matches; only Blackburn Rovers have picked up more points in the second tier since Wilder's arrival at the Riverside.
A New Year's Day reunion with Sheffield United was postponed due to positive Covid-19 tests in the Boro squad, meaning the team's last outing was a 2-1 away victory at Blackpool on December 29 when Duncan Watmore struck a 93rd-minute winner.
However, Middlesbrough, who have been knocked out in the third round of the FA Cup in each of the last two years, have not won back-to-back away matches so far this season.
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Team News
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Two unnamed Mansfield players have been ruled out of the game after testing positive for Covid-19, but Clough has the majority of his squad available again after recent postponed matches.
Harry Charsley, George Lapslie and Stephen Quinn are all back in training following recent injuries; Charsley completed 90 minutes in a friendly against Derby County Under-23s on Tuesday.
Top scorer Danny Johnson, who has been absent since the end of October with a foot injury, also played in the game and will be assessed ahead of the cup tie.
Wilder is expected to rotate for the trip to Field Mill and could hand rare opportunities to the likes of Grant Hall and Martin Payero.
Aaron Connolly will be eager to make his debut after signing on loan from Brighton & Hove Albion, but James Lea Siliki is away at the Africa Cup of Nations with Cameroon.
Youngsters such as Josh Coburn, who has just signed a new contract, as well as Sol Brynn and Nathan Wood, who have just returned from loan spells away, may be given the chance to impress.
Mansfield Town possible starting lineup:
Bishop; Hewitt, Rawson, Hawkins, McLaughlin; Stirk, O-Toole, Maris; Charsley, Bowery, Oates
Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Brynn; Fry, Hall, Wood; Dijksteel, Malley, McNair, Payero, Kokolo; Coburn, Connolly
We say: Mansfield Town 2-1 Middlesbrough
This should be a fascinating encounter between two sides enjoying superb winning runs. With Chris Wilder expected to rotate his team and prioritise the Championship campaign, we think that there is potential for an upset in this tie – particularly considering Mansfield's strong record on home turf.
Top tip
Olly Allen
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
