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Villarreal logo
Europa League | Final
May 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
Manchester United logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Man Utd

Moreno (29')
Capoue (54'), Foyth (84')
FT
(aet)
Cavani (55')
Bailly (82'), Cavani (113')
Villarreal win 11-10 on penalties

Preview: Villarreal vs. Manchester United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Villarreal and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two managers with differing resumes of success in continental competition prepare their sides for battle in Gdansk as Villarreal take on Manchester United in Wednesday's Europa League final.

The Yellow Submarine sent Arsenal packing 2-1 on aggregate in the final four to advance to the showpiece event, while Man United put eight past Roma over two legs as Ole Gunnar Solskjaer searches for his first piece of silverware since assuming office.

Villarreal's La Liga campaign ended in disappointment with a 2-1 defeat to eventual runners-up Real Madrid on Saturday, whereas United secured victory in the Premier League by the same scoreline over Wolverhampton Wanderers.


Match preview

Villarreal coach Unai Emery reacts in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

The stage was set for perennial Europa League winner Unai Emery to get revenge on Arsenal after being given the boot by the North London outfit, and the Europa League master outclassed European novice Mikel Arteta to dump his former side out of the tournament.

Villarreal arguably should have been out of sight in the first leg of their semi-final as first-half goals from Manu Trigueros and Raul Albiol put them in the driving seat against a toothless Arsenal, but Nicolas Pepe's spot kick gave Arsenal hope before Emery once again stepped foot onto the Emirates sidelines.

However, the Yellow Submarine avenged their two previous Champions League exits to Arsenal by holding them to a goalless stalemate in North London - during which Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang hit the post twice - and Villarreal are now just 90 minutes away from ending their agonising wait for a maiden major honour.

Not even an early injury to scintillating attacker Samuel Chukwueze could dampen the spirits of Villarreal on the night, and as he did time and time again with Sevilla, Emery will endeavour to stamp his authority on Europe's secondary competition as he seeks a fourth Europa League title since 2014.

Villarreal's Manu Trigueros celebrates scoring against Arsenal in the Europa League on April 29, 2021© Reuters

It is not just Emery's personal record on the line this week, as Villarreal's 2-1 defeat to Real Madrid at the weekend - where Yeremy's opener was cancelled out by Karim Benzema and Luka Modric - means that a spot in the UEFA Conference League looms unless they can come up trumps in Gdansk and return to the biggest stage of them all in the Champions League.

With an astonishing record of 12 wins and two draws in their 14 Europa League matches so far, Villarreal may be the underdogs going into Wednesday's final, but Emery just seems to have that secret formula for success on the continental stage and Man United would commit an act of folly if they failed to do their research on the opposing coach.

Having reached the semi-finals of Europe's secondary competition three times in the past, Villarreal have now become the 11th different Spanish side to book their place in a continental final, and history favours them too, as English teams have now lost nine times in a row when facing Spanish sides in the final.

Furthermore, Emery's exciting crop have found the back of the net in 13 of their 14 Europa League games so far this term - with the goalless draw at the Emirates being the only exception - and Gerard Moreno has been at the heart of it all with six goals and four assists en route to Gdansk.

Emery failed to secure a record-breaking haul of four Europa League wins with Arsenal after overseeing a 4-1 defeat to Chelsea in the 2018-19 final, but having already produced the goods against one English powerhouse, Villarreal must be paid the respect they deserve by a United side who are also no stranger to success in the tournament.

Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer on May 6, 2021© Reuters

It was Jose Mourinho's Man United side that broke Emery's hot streak of three successive Europa League wins in the 2016-17 season, where they overcame Ajax in the final, and the Red Devils will now seek to sink the Yellow Submarine and add some silverware to the trophy cabinet for the first time since that triumph four years ago.

Having managed to delay Manchester City's title coronation for weeks on end, United's inevitable second-placed finish in the Premier League was confirmed earlier this month as Solskjaer's side lost their golden touch, although three games in five days in the wake of Old Trafford protests hardly helped their cause.

With more than one eye on the Gdansk final, Solskjaer placed faith in his academy talents against Wolves on the final day of the Premier League season, and it paid off as Anthony Elanga's bullet header preceded a coolly dispatched penalty from Juan Mata as they ended the season with a flourish.

The Red Devils had only taken one point from nine on offer before spoiling Nuno Espirito Santo's leaving party at Molineux, and their most recent Europa League fixture also ended in defeat to Roma, but the damage had already been done during a domineering first leg at Old Trafford.

Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes celebrates scoring against Liverpool in the Premier League on May 13, 2021© Reuters

Three injuries in the space of 37 minutes for Roma - who managed to take a 2-1 lead into half time at Old Trafford - significantly hampered their chances of producing the goods at the Theatre of Dreams, and Man United hit them for six before an inconsequential 3-2 defeat in the second leg.

The Red Devils have undoubtedly been the favourites to go all the way in the Europa League since their ill-fated Champions League run came to an end, and they could now follow in the footsteps of long-time rivals Chelsea, who in 2013 became the first and only English side to win the Europa League after dropping out of Europe's elite competition.

Solskjaer had steered his side to five wins from seven knockout matches before their recent defeat at Roma - an impressive feat considering that Real Sociedad and AC Milan are no pushovers - and a quarter-final success over Granada means that United certainly know how to get the better of Spanish sides on the continental stage.

Solskjaer still has his doubters, whose voices will certainly not be silenced if their trophy drought continues this week, but lifting the European trophy aloft should signal to the discontent fans - who continue to make their feelings towards the much-maligned Glazers known - that he is the right man to restore United to their former glories.

The 2013 Norwegian Cup represents Solskjaer's only honour during his relatively brief managerial career so far, and adding to that modest haul will be no easy feat against Europa League aficionado Emery, who himself will endeavour to steer Villarreal into a new era with their first-ever major trophy 98 years after their inception.

Villarreal Europa League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Manchester United Europa League form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Manchester United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Manchester United's Harry Maguire goes off injured against Aston Villa in the Premier League on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal boss Emery has refused to rule out Chukwueze's chances of making this week's final, but having failed to make the cut against Real Madrid, the attacker is still a major doubt for the showpiece event.

Tottenham Hotspur loanee Juan Foyth is also facing a race against time to be fit for the final due to a hamstring issue sustained against Arsenal, so Mario Gaspar should continue to bomb down the right flank.

Emery has a big call to make in between the sticks as Geronimo Rulli did not look at all convincing over the two legs of the semi-final, so Sergio Asenjo may earn a recall to the first XI for the final.

Carlos Bacca and Paco Alcacer are both vying for the chance to partner the irrepressible Moreno up top; the former was given the nod against Real Madrid but failed to flourish, so Alcacer will hope to come back in.

Ex-Arsenal man Francis Coquelin covered for the suspended Etienne Capoue at the Emirates last time out, but the latter's return should see him partner midfield maestro Dani Parejo in Gdansk.

As for United, Solskjaer has offered a pessimistic update on the availability of Harry Maguire, who continues to battle back from an ankle injury but is now considered unlikely to be passed fit for the final.

Eric Bailly and Victor Lindelof should therefore partner up in defence while Phil Jones misses out once more, and David de Gea is expected to get the nod in goal over Dean Henderson.

Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Luke Shaw will reprise their regular roles in defence after being granted rests against Wolves, while Fred was not involved due to a minor knock but should be fine to man the midfield alongside Scott McTominay.

Anthony Martial is out, but a complete overhaul of the forward line should see Amad Diallo and Daniel James make way for Marcus Rashford and Paul Pogba - the latter playing in his newfound left-hand side role once more - while Mata has no chance of keeping his place over Bruno Fernandes despite his winner at Molineux.

Mason Greenwood and Edinson Cavani are both well-rested and desperate for the chance to spearhead the attack, but with five goals in his last three European outings, the veteran Uruguayan should be given the nod against his former boss Emery.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Gaspar, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Trigueros, Capoue, Parejo, Yeremy; Moreno, Alcacer

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Bailly, Shaw; Fred, McTominay; Rashford, Fernandes, Pogba; Cavani


Head To Head

Wednesday's final represents the fifth meeting between Man United and Villarreal since 2005, and incredibly, all four of the previous clashes between the two sides have ended goalless.

The two sides played out their first two 0-0 draws in the 2005-06 Champions League season - where Villarreal reached the semi-finals - before shaking hands on two more goalless stalemates in the 2008-09 campaign.

United have never faced a single opponent without scoring more times than they have done against Villarreal, with Wayne Rooney seeing red in the first meeting between the two sides in September 2005.


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 1-2 Manchester United

A fixture that has historically led to a drab 90 minutes and a share of the spoils will ultimately have a winner and a loser this time around, as 9,500 spectators prepare to witness Emery's spate of Europa League successes continue or Solskjaer's first trophy in the Man United dugout.

Moreno and co would smell blood should Maguire miss out as expected, and Villarreal ought to have no trouble breaching the Red Devils' rearguard, but we can envisage the trophy heading back to Manchester as Solskjaer's merciless attackers carry their side to victory in Gdansk.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:448743:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect21071:
Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%).


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Data Failed

How you voted: Villarreal vs Man Utd

Villarreal
23.6%
Draw
7.8%
Manchester United
68.7%
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