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Manchester City logo
Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Burnley logo

Man City
2 - 0
Burnley

Silva (12'), De Bruyne (70')
Laporte (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Manchester City vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester City will aim to make an immediate return to winning ways in the Premier League when they take on Burnley at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The reigning champions played out a pulsating 2-2 draw with Liverpool last time out, while Sean Dyche's side could only take a point from their clash with Norwich City.


Match preview

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured with his backroom staff on October 3, 2021© Reuters

Liverpool vs. Man City is very rarely a boring watch for the neutrals, and one man in particular stole the show for the Merseyside giants, but Pep Guardiola's side would fight back twice to rescue a point before the international break.

After Phil Foden had initially cancelled out Sadio Mane's opener, Mohamed Salah evaded a number of challenges from those in blue before crashing a shot home past Ederson, but City's own talisman Kevin De Bruyne would reply within five minutes to ensure a share of the spoils.

Another two points dropped in the Premier League is hardly the end of the world for the champions, and they now occupy third spot in the table - one point behind Liverpool and two behind leaders Chelsea - but must also factor in next week's Champions League trip to Club Brugge this weekend.

A 2-0 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in their most recent European battle means that City head into Saturday's game aiming to avoid a third game without a win in all competitions, but they remain unbeaten at home this season and have kept four Premier League clean sheets in succession at the Etihad, the most recent of which came in a goalless draw with Southampton.

Only leaders Chelsea have also conceded a league-low three goals so far this season, and not since 2010 have City failed to score in successive home matches in the Premier League - a streak which is highly unlikely to end anytime soon.

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured on August 29, 2021© Reuters

Liverpool-Man City may have been a tremendous watch for the neutrals, while Burnley-Norwich was anything but, as neither side could find a way through in a 0-0 draw which extended their winless runs in the top flight.

That result did represent Norwich's first point of the new season, but Burnley will be aware that they have passed up a golden opportunity to put their first win on the board as they struggle to break away from the other relegation candidates.

A point against the Canaries has seen Dyche's side remain in the bottom three with only three points taken from a possible 21 this term, but a previous draw with Leicester City and EFL Cup win over Rochdale at least means that they are unbeaten in three in all tournaments ahead of this clash.

However, three of the Clarets' last four away games in the top flight have ended in defeat, while their winless run in the Premier League stretches back to a 2-0 win over Fulham in May, and they have posted seven losses and three draws in the league since then.

Furthermore, Burnley travel to the Etihad having lost their last eight in a row against Man City in all competitions - scoring only once in that miserable streak - and each of the last four fixtures at the Etihad between the two clubs has ended 5-0 to the hosts.

Manchester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Burnley Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D

Burnley form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Manchester City's Ederson pictured on September 18, 2021© Reuters

City are unlikely to be able to call upon Brazilian duo Ederson and Gabriel Jesus due to their late returns from international duty, with Zack Steffen set to deputise in goal for the former, while Ferran Torres is out with a broken foot.

Jesus's absence opens up a spot for Riyad Mahrez to feature on the right, and it remains to be seen if Ilkay Gundogan and Oleksandr Zinchenko will be given the green light to line up here.

Phil Foden followed up a man-of-the-match performance against Andorra with an ineffective display against Hungary, but the starlet is in no danger of losing his place here after his well-taken Anfield goal.

Burnley forward Matej Vydra lasted just 35 minutes against Norwich but featured for the Czech Republic over the international break, while Dyche will also hope to have Maxwel Cornet back for the trip to Manchester and Ben Mee has tested positive for coronavirus.

Johann Berg Gudmundsson should also be fine despite withdrawing from the Iceland squad, which makes Dale Stephens the Clarets' only confirmed absentee at the time of writing, but Charlie Taylor is also doubtful.

Dyche is well-covered in the event of Mee's possible absence after Nathan Collins played the full 90 and helped his side to a clean sheet against Norwich, while Matthew Lowton will hope to hold his spot at right-back over Connor Roberts for now.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Steffen; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; De Bruyne, Rodri, Foden; Mahrez, Silva, Grealish

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Collins, Tarkowski, Taylor; Cornet, Brownhill, Westwood, McNeil; Wood, Vydra


SM words green background

We say: Manchester City 3-0 Burnley

Burnley may have developed a new-found sense of resilience following two successive draws in the top flight, but their four most recent trips to the Etihad have all ended in disaster against a five-star City.

It is difficult to see Guardiola's side repeating the same trick again given how the international break will take its toll, but this ought to be another routine success and clean sheet for the champions either way.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Man City vs Burnley

Manchester City
85.7%
Draw
5.8%
Burnley
8.5%
259
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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