Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 9.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
  • goal Carles Gil 11'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 26'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 27'

Toronto vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 7.30pm
Toronto 0 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 12.30am
Charlotte FC 0 - 1 New England
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Carles Gil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result

Toronto 43.97% (-0.32)
Draw 24.81% (-0.01)
New England Revolution 31.21% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.91% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 46.09% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 31.61% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 68.39% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 15.8% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 84.2% (-0.11)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 78.98% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 21.02% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 46.2% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 53.8% (+0.12)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 72.09% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 27.91% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 36.47% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 63.53% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Toronto 43.97%
Draw 24.81%
New England Revolution 31.22%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.81% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.81%
New England Revolution
0-1 @ 7.49% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.78% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-97.79)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.22%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Raoul Petretta 8' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 8' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 42' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 42' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 65' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 65' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • yellowcard Nacho Gil 29'
  • yellowcard Nacho Gil 29'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 42'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 42'
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 27'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 73'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 87'
  • yellowcard Ayomide Akinola 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Bobby Wood 33' goal
  • Bobby Wood 33' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 52' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 52' goal
  • goal Deandre Kerr 11'
  • goal Deandre Kerr 11'
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
  • goal Bobby Wood 19'
  • goal DeJuan Jones 62'
Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Federico Bernardeschi 31' goal
  • Ayomide Akinola 35' yellowcard
  • Domenico Criscito 75' goal
  • Richie Laryea 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Makoun 29'
  • goal Thomas McNamara 37'
  • goal Justin Rennicks 48'
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT