Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.