Major League Soccer

May 3, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 2
New England

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gil (11'), Campana (27')
Campana (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 NY City
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 New England
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New England Revolution
43.97% ( -0.32)	24.81% ( -0)	31.21% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 56.94% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.91% (

0.16)

46.09% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.61% (

0.15)

68.39% (

-0.15)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

-0.08)

21.02% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

-0.12)

53.8% (

0.12)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

0.29)

27.91% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

0.37)

63.53% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Toronto 43.97%

New England Revolution 31.22%

Draw 24.81%

Toronto	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.97%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.22%