Major League Soccer

Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Seattle

Leroux (32', 32')
Espinoza (35'), Espinoza (35'), Bouda (59'), Bouda (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rusnak (80', 80')
Ragen (90+3'), Ragen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Seattle Sounders
40.75% ( -0.07)	24.8% ( 0.02)	34.46% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.14% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

-0.06)

45.03% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

-0.06)

67.38% (

0.07)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.06)

22.07% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

-0.09)

55.42% (

0.1)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

25.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

60.21% (

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 40.75%

Seattle Sounders 34.46%

Draw 24.79%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Seattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.75%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.46%