Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
4 - 1
Portland

Espinoza (16', 16', 24', 24'), Arango (27', 27'), Bouda (88', 88')
Harkes (38'), Harkes (38'), Munie (40'), Munie (40'), Romney (55'), Romney (55'), Costa (90+4'), Costa (90+4')

FT(HT: 6-2)

Mora (42', 42')
Miller (90+2'), Miller (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-4 Portland
Monday, April 28 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
47.79% ( 0.18)	21.63% ( 0.08)	30.57% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 68.2% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.83% (

-0.53)

31.17% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.41% (

-0.63)

52.58% (

0.62)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

-0.14)

13.7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.06% (

-0.27)

40.93% (

0.27)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

-0.4)

20.96% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

-0.63)

53.71% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 47.79%

Portland Timbers 30.57%

Draw 21.63%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 47.79%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.57%