Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.