Major League Soccer

Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30am UK

San Diego
3 - 2
Los Angeles

McVey (21', 21'), Valakari (33', 33'), Mighten (40', 40')
Negri (14'), Negri (14'), Tverskov (24'), Tverskov (24'), Kumado (88'), Kumado (88'), Lozano (90+6'), Lozano (90+6')

FT(HT: 6-4)

Smoliakov (43', 43'), Under (45+5', 45+5')
Martinez (19'), Martinez (19'), Jesus (21'), Jesus (21'), Segura (90+4'), Segura (90+4')
Jesus (53'), Jesus (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between San Diego and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-1 San Diego
Sunday, March 23 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 0-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
San Diego	Draw	Los Angeles FC
27.51% ( 0.25)	22.74% ( -0.01)	49.75% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 61.74% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

0.23)

38.69% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39% (

0.24)

61% (

-0.24)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

0.29)

26.67% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.08% (

0.38)

61.92% (

-0.38)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2% (

-0)

15.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.04% (

-0)

44.96% (

Score Analysis

San Diego 27.51%

Los Angeles FC 49.75%

Draw 22.73%

San Diego	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.51%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 49.75%