Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
3
2
HT : 6 4
FT
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'

San Diego vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 23, 2025 8.00pm
Austin 2 - 1 San Diego
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Anders Dreyer

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 23, 2025 12.30am
Kansas 0 - 2 Los Angeles
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 27.51% (+0.25)
Draw 22.74% (-0.01)
Los Angeles FC 49.75% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.74% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.31% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 38.69% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 39% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 61% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 21.34% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 78.65% (-0.19)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 73.33% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 26.67% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 38.08% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 61.92% (-0.39)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 84.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.96% (+0.01)

Score analysis

San Diego 27.51%
Draw 22.73%
Los Angeles FC 49.75%
San Diego
2-1 @ 6.79% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 27.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.27% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.73%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.85% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 49.75%