Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for DC United had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 49.04% ( | 23.29% | 27.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.8% ( | 41.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( | 63.59% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( | 16.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( | 47.11% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( | 27.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( | 63.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.66% |