Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Vrioni (45+3', 45+3')
Herbers (27'), Herbers (27'), Pearce (36'), Pearce (36'), Campbell (56'), Campbell (56'), Sealy (83'), Sealy (83')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Vassilev (2', 2'), Uhre (84', 84')
Lukic (57'), Lukic (57'), Harriel (76'), Harriel (76'), Sullivan (82'), Sullivan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 Montreal
Saturday, April 26 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 DC United
Saturday, April 26 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
42.35% ( -1.04)	24.56% ( 0.34)	33.09% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75% (

-1.34)

44.25% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

-1.31)

66.63% (

1.31)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02% (

-1.03)

20.98% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.25% (

-1.63)

53.74% (

1.63)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

-0.22)

25.83% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.19% (

-0.29)

60.8% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 42.35%

Philadelphia Union 33.09%

Draw 24.55%

CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.09%