Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 4, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Saputo
Philadelphia
  • Fabian Herbers 27' yellowcard
  • Fabian Herbers 27' yellowcard
  • Tom Pearce 36' yellowcard
  • Tom Pearce 36' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 45'+3' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 45'+3' goal
  • George Campbell 56' yellowcard
  • George Campbell 56' yellowcard
  • Dante Sealy 83' yellowcard
  • Dante Sealy 83' yellowcard
  • goal Indiana Vassilev 2'
  • goal Indiana Vassilev 2'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukic 57'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukic 57'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 76'
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 76'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 82'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 82'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 84'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 84'

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 9.30pm
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Prince Osei Owusu

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 9.30pm
Philadelphia 3 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

CF Montreal 42.35% ▼ (-1.05)
Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.34)
Philadelphia Union 33.09% ▲ (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.6% ▼ (-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.75% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 2.5 44.25% ▲ (+1.34)
Over 3.5 33.37% ▼ (-1.32)
Under 3.5 66.63% ▲ (+1.32)
Over 4.5 17.06% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 4.5 82.93% ▲ (+0.97)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 79.02% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 0.5 20.98% ▲ (+1.03)
Over 1.5 46.25% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 53.74% ▲ (+1.63)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 74.16% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 25.83% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 39.19% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 60.8% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 42.35%
Draw 24.55%
Philadelphia Union 33.09%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.55%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.12)
0-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.09%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Philadelphia
Aug 10, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
Montreal
  • Tai Baribo 45'+1' goal
  • Tai Baribo 45'+1' goal
  • Kai Wagner 68' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 68' yellowcard
  • Olivier Mbaizo 84' yellowcard
  • Olivier Mbaizo 84' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 90'+7' goal
  • Tai Baribo 90'+7' goal
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
4
2
HT : 2 4
FT Stade Saputo
Philadelphia
  • Josef Martinez 36' goal
  • Josef Martinez 36' goal
  • Bryce Duke 56' goal
  • Bryce Duke 56' goal
  • Dominik Yankov 89' goal
  • Dominik Yankov 89' goal
  • Ruan 90'+2' goal
  • Ruan 90'+2' goal
  • Ruan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ruan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 29'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 29'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 41'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 41'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Subaru Park
Montreal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 56' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 56' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 58' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 58' goal
  • Jack Elliott 63' redcard
  • Jack Elliott 63' redcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 1'
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 1'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 28'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 28'
  • yellowcard Dominik Yankov 41'
  • yellowcard Dominik Yankov 41'
  • redcard Ariel Lassiter 45'
  • redcard Ariel Lassiter 45'
  • goal Samuel Piette 66'
  • goal Samuel Piette 66'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
Montreal
  • Julian Carranza 12' goal
  • Julian Carranza 12' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 36' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 36' goal
  • Julian Carranza 61' goal
  • Julian Carranza 61' goal
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saputo
Philadelphia
  • Romell Quioto 3' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 90' goal
  • Romell Quioto 90'+8' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 46'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 60'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Montreal
  • Julian Carranza 21' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 55' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 82' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kei Kamara 59'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 61'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 90'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 90'+3'

Form Data

NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Montreal
Montreal 0 - 0 Orlando City
Montreal 0 - 1 Charlotte FC
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Montreal
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Montreal
Nashville 3 - 0 Montreal
Philadelphia 3 - 0 DC United
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Atlanta
NY City 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Orlando City
Inter Miami 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 0 St Louis City