Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.