Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 41.49% ( | 24.66% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( | 44.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( | 66.88% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( | 54.54% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( | 25.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% ( | 60.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.85% |