Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kufstein-Arena
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 70' goal

Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 4.30pm
Udinese 1 - 2 Shabab Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 29.4% ▼ (-1.00)
Draw 23.3% ▼ (-0.40)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 47.3% ▲ (+1.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.3% ▲ (+1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.67% ▲ (+1.07)
Under 1.5 18.33% ▼ (-1.07)
Over 2.5 60.1% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 2.5 39.9% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 3.5 37.8% ▲ (+1.70)
Under 3.5 62.2% ▼ (-1.70)
Over 4.5 22.8% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 4.5 77.2% ▼ (-1.41)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 35.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 64.68% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 14.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.32% ▼ (-0.08)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5 79.29% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 0.5 20.71% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 1.5 50.5% ▲ (+1.98)
Under 1.5 49.5% ▼ (-1.98)
Over 2.5 25.12% ▲ (+1.75)
Under 2.5 74.88% ▼ (-1.75)
Over 3.5 10.21% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 3.5 89.79% ▼ (-1.03)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 29.39%
Draw 23.3%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 47.3%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.21)
1-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.45)
2-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 29.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 23.3%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-2 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.26)
0-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 9.93% ▲ (+1.00)
Total : 47.3%