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Livingston logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Hamilton logo

Livingston
2 - 1
Hamilton

Emmanuel-Thomas (16'), Pittman (36')
Devlin (5'), Holt (42')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (30')
Smith (45+1'), Martin (90+2')

Preview: Livingston vs. Hamilton Academical - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hamilton Academical, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Livingston head into their Scottish Premiership encounter with Hamilton Academical on Wednesday, hoping to avoid losing successive league matches for the first time since October.

Meanwhile, the Accies could move off the bottom of the table if they were to claim their second victory of the season at the Toni Macaroni Arena.


Match preview

Rangers defender Filip Helander gets a shot away in the Scottish Premiership clash with Livingston on August 16, 2020© Reuters

Livingston's 14-match unbeaten run came to an end last weekend as they lost 2-1 at home to St Johnstone.

Despite Scott Pittman pulling one back for the hosts with seven minutes left to play, the Lions were unable to snatch a late equaliser, which saw manager David Martindale taste his first defeat in charge.

That result sees Livingston remain in fifth place, five points behind Aberdeen who currently occupy the final European spot, and with 11 league games still to play, the Lions will fancy their chances of breaking into the top four.

Livingston have faced Hamilton twice already this campaign, winning their most recent encounter 2-0 away from home in December, however they did suffer a 2-1 defeat against the Accies at the Toni Macaroni Arena in September.

Martindale will hope that his side can repeat their December performance and result as they look to bounce back from the blip at St Johnstone with their 12th victory of the season.

Hamilton Academical manager Brian Rice pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Hamilton surprised everyone last Sunday as they came from behind to earn a hard-fought 1-1 draw against league leaders Rangers.

It looked as if the Gers were to take all three points when Brian Easton put the ball into his own net 10 minutes from time, however the Accies pushed Steven Gerrard's side to the very end with Ross Callachan scoring a 94th-minute equaliser to snatch a precious point.

Head coach Brian Rice was delighted with his side's "top-class performance", a vast improvement from their showing at Ibrox in November when they were thrashed 8-0.

The point earned still keeps Hamilton at the foot of the table, although the deficit to Ross County, who are one place above them, has been trimmed back to three points and the Accies have two games in hand.

Hamilton, who have failed to score in five of their last seven visits to Livingston, could move two points behind ninth-placed Motherwell with a victory on Wednesday, a team they face next weekend.

Livingston Scottish Premiership form: DDWDWL
Livingston form (all competitions): DWWDWL

Hamilton Academical Scottish Premiership form: WLDLLD


Team News

Celtic's Ryan Christie in Scottish Premiership action with Hamilton Academical's Shaun Want on August 3, 2020© Reuters

Livingston are still without Keaghan Jacobs (foot) and Alan Lithgow (hip), who are both injured, but otherwise David Martindale has a full squad to pick from.

Defender Jack Fitzwater, who returned to the bench for the match with St Johnstone, could be in contention to start ahead of Efe Ambrose at centre-back.

Hamilton's David Templeton (groin), Lewis Smith (hamstring) and Shaun Want (thigh) all remain out with injuries.

Midfielder Will Collar, who made just seven appearances for the Accies this campaign, has left the club and joined National League side Stockport County on a free transfer.

Ryan Fulton, who signed a new two-year deal with the Accies last weekend, is set to remain in goal, while striker Bruce Anderson could keep his place in the starting lineup ahead of David Moyo and Andrew Winter.

Livingston possible starting lineup:
Stryjek; Devlin, Ambrose, Guthrie, Serrano; Bartley, Holt; Pittman, Sibbald, Robinson; Emmanuel-Thomas

Hamilton Academical possible starting lineup:
Fulton; Hamilton, A. Martin, Easton; Hodson, Odoffin, Hughes, Callachan, McMann; Anderson, Ogkmpoe


SM words green background

We say: Livingston 2-2 Hamilton Academical

Both sides will be looking to claim all three points and move closer to their contrasting end of season targets.

A European spot is in sight for Livingston but they must get back to winning ways quickly if they are to sneak in front of Aberdeen, while a win for Hamilton could bring as many as six teams into a relegation battle at the bottom.

Even though both sides will have confidence heading into Wednesday's fixture, a score draw could be on the cards.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.


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Rangers manager Steven Gerrard pictured on November 22, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic30225371234871
2RangersRangers29231564164870
3Hearts3017493930955
4Kilmarnock30111183933644
5St Mirren30126123637-142
6Hibernian30911104145-438
7Dundee2999114050-1036
8Motherwell30711124147-632
9Aberdeen3079143348-1530
10St Johnstone30610142141-2028
11Ross County3069152851-2327
12Livingston3038192052-3217


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