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Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Final | 1st Leg
May 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Ross County

Livingston
1 - 1
Ross County

Wilson (45+1')
Smith (85'), Wilson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hale (90+5' pen.)
Samuel (37'), Kenneh (61'), White (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Livingston and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Partick
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Ross County

All competitions
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Motherwell
Sunday, May 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawRoss County
57.96% (0.46400000000001 0.46)23.95% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18.09% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 45.78% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (-0.263 -0.26)54.01% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55% (-0.22 -0.22)75.45% (0.223 0.22)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.075000000000003 0.08)18.45% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (0.127 0.13)49.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14% (-0.621 -0.62)43.86% (0.624 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (-0.517 -0.52)80.01% (0.52 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 57.94%
    Ross County 18.09%
    Draw 23.95%
LivingstonDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 57.94%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.09%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs 11th ranked upper div.

Winner Semi-final 1
85.4%
Draw
8.3%
11th ranked upper div.
6.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Fourth Round
Ross County
2-2
Livingston
(Aggregate 2-2 | Ross County win 0-0 on penalties)
White (55'), Hale (73')
White (65'), Lopata (68'), Kenneh (90+1'), Ashworth (118')
Muirhead (45+1' pen.), Montano (61'), Shinnie (120')
May (82'), Montano (90+1'), Muirhead (90'), Ubochioma (109'), McAlear (110'), Brandon (112')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Livingston
2-0
Ross County
Anderson (12'), Kelly (53' pen.)
Carson (90+4')

(90+9')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ross County
3-2
Livingston
Brophy (21', 27'), Sims (90+2')
Sheaf (75'), Murray (89')
Anderson (47', 86')
Nottingham (66'), Yengi (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Livingston
2-2
Ross County
Pittman (45'), MacKay (88')
Penrice (24')
Murray (28', 85')
Nightingale (69'), Murray (87')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ross County
1-1
Livingston
Murray (59')
Anderson (72')
Brandon (45'), Devlin (51'), Obileye (61')
> Preview