Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Partick Thistle win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.