Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 52.08%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Partick Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.