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Wolves logo
Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Molineux
Liverpool logo

Wolves
0 - 1
Liverpool


Neves (37'), Saiss (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jota (45+2')
Alcantara (42')

Preview: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Liverpool will be looking to get their Premier League top-four hopes back on track when they face Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux on Monday night.

The champions have plummeted down to eighth in the table courtesy of a dreadful run of form since the turn of the year, now sitting just eight points clear of their opponents following a recent improvement from Wolves.


Match preview

Liverpool's Joel Matip celebrates scoring against Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on December 6, 2020© Reuters

There was a celebratory atmosphere for Liverpool when these two sides met in the reverse fixture just over three months ago, as 2,000 fans were allowed back into Anfield to watch their side run riot in a 4-0 win which left them level at the top of the Premier League table.

Fast forward to the present day and supporters are again banned from attending, Liverpool have lost six of their last seven league games and incredibly now find themselves a whopping 25 points adrift of leaders Manchester City.

It is a scarcely-believable scenario compared to when the two sides last met but, just as plans are beginning to take shape for supporters to return permanently this time, Liverpool will hope that the light at the end of the tunnel is also in sight when it comes to their form.

Jurgen Klopp's side were much improved as they booked their place in the Champions League quarter-finals on Wednesday night, overcoming RB Leipzig 2-0 in the 'home' leg at the Puskas Arena in Budapest to secure a 4-0 aggregate triumph.

In truth, it could and should have been more than two on the night as Liverpool spurned a string of very presentable chances before finally breaking the deadlock and then adding a second to wrap things up four minutes later.

Liverpool's Sadio Mane celebrates scoring against RB Leipzig in the Champions League on March 10, 2021© Reuters

The Reds will be hoping that that quickfire double, which contained hallmarks of Liverpool's attacking incisiveness of old, signals the floodgates opening again, having scored with only two of their last 67 shots from open play in the Premier League. According to their xG value in that time, they would have been expected to score seven of those.

There have been false dawns before, though, with the most obvious parallel being the home Merseyside derby defeat which immediately followed their first-leg triumph over Leipzig.

Wins over Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham United were also followed by three successive defeats, while they followed up victory against Sheffield United in their most recent away game with back-to-back home losses against Chelsea and Fulham, so there is no guarantee that their impressive performance in midweek will spark an immediate improvement domestically.

Indeed, the domestic statistics continue to get more damning by the week; last weekend's 1-0 loss to Fulham means that Liverpool have the worst record in the entire league since the beginning of February, picking up just three points from a possible 21, while only West Bromwich Albion have scored fewer goals than the Reds in that time heading into the weekend.

Klopp's men have now lost nine Premier League games this season - including six in a row at home, eight since the turn of the year and six since the beginning of February - which is already their most in a single campaign since 2015-16.

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on March 7, 2021© Reuters

Another defeat on Monday night would see them reach 10 defeats at the earliest stage of a league season for a decade, and more importantly it could have a fatal impact on their top-four hopes.

Heading into the weekend Liverpool are seven points adrift of the Champions League places, and historically their chances of bridging that gap, and undoing the damage of the past three months, look slim.

Only three teams have ever had Liverpool's current tally of 43 points or fewer with 10 games remaining of a 38-game Premier League season and still gone on to finish in the top four - although Liverpool themselves were one of those teams in 2003-04.

If history is to be acknowledged then there are also positive signs for Liverpool coming into this match, with the Reds unbeaten in away league games at Molineux since August 1981 and having won each of their last eight Premier League meetings home or away.

That run, which already stretches back more than a decade, would become Wolves' joint-longest losing run in their entire league history if they are beaten again on Sunday, and Nuno Espirito Santo's side go into the game winless in their last three outings.

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Nuno Espirito Santo pictured on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Stalemates away to Newcastle United and Aston Villa either side of a defeat to Manchester City have somewhat slowed the momentum which had been built with a run of three wins from four before that.

Even so, the loss at Man City is their only defeat in their last seven league outings, having lost four of their previous six and gone eight games without a win before that.

There has certainly been an improvement since the beginning of February, then, and the fact that they have picked up 12 points in that time while Liverpool have only amassed three should give them plenty of confidence coming into this game.

Wolves will also be pleased to be back at Molineux for the first time in almost a month after three straight away games, having beaten Leeds United 1-0 on their last outing on home territory.

Nuno's side have not won back-to-back home games yet this season, though, and only managed it once throughout the whole of 2019-20 too, so if they are to improve on their current position of 12th then they will need to showcase some rare consistency at Molineux.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Wolverhampton Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Liverpool forward Roberto Firmino pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Roberto Firmino will face a late fitness test ahead of this match, having missed the last two games with a knee injury.

The Brazilian's problem was described as "minor" and Klopp was hopeful in his pre-match press conference that he would be back available, suggesting that he could be in contention to return to the squad at least.

Back-up goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher could also be available following an abdominal strain, but Jordan Henderson, Joel Matip, Joe Gomez and Virgil van Dijk all remain sidelined.

Klopp confirmed that he wants "consistency" at centre-back, so Nat Phillips and Ozan Kabak are once again expected to partner each other, with Fabinho continuing in midfield after successfully returning to that position in midweek.

Indeed, depending on Firmino's fitness Klopp could be tempted to name an unchanged side, meaning another start for the fit-again Diogo Jota against his former club.

Wolves remain without Raul Jimenez, while Monday's game will also come too soon for Fernando Marcal and Daniel Podence.

A goalless draw against Aston Villa last time out could lead Nuno to name an unchanged defensive line, but Fabio Silva will be pushing for a recall up front with Willian Jose still waiting for his first Wolves goal.

Nuno did say in his pre-match press conference that his squad have some "new issues" to deal with on the injury front, although he did not specify which players those issues surround.

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Patricio; Dendoncker, Coady, Saiss; Semedo, Neves, Moutinho, Jonny; Neto, Silva, Traore

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Phillips, Kabak, Robertson; Thiago, Fabinho, Wijnaldum; Salah, Jota, Mane


SM words green background

We say: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-2 Liverpool

Liverpool have had occasional wins in recent weeks which they have been unable to then build upon, but time is running out for them to turn their desperate domestic form around now.

We therefore expect them to pick up where they left off against RB Leipzig in midweek and continue an away record which, in spite of their general recent form, has seen them win five of their last six games away from Anfield.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Wolves vs Liverpool

Wolverhampton Wanderers
21.8%
Draw
15.5%
Liverpool
62.7%
316
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Liverpool midfielder Georginio Wijnaldum pictured in September 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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