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Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Anfield
Norwich logo

Liverpool
3 - 1
Norwich

Mane (64'), Salah (67'), Diaz (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rashica (48')
Williams (40')

Preview: Liverpool vs. Norwich City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams at opposite ends of the Premier League table meet on Saturday when title-chasing Liverpool welcome relegation-threatened Norwich City to Anfield.

The Reds come into the match still unbeaten in all competitions this calendar year, but face a Norwich side whose survival hopes have been significantly boosted in recent weeks.


Match preview

Liverpool's Roberto Firmino celebrates scoring their first goal with Trent Alexander-Arnold, Jordan Henderson and Virgil van Dijk on February 16, 2022© Reuters

The relentless pace set by Manchester City means that every Premier League game is effectively a must-win one for Liverpool right now, and particularly home games against struggling opposition.

Saturday will be the first time in 2022 that Jurgen Klopp's men have played before Pep Guardiola's side in the league, giving them the chance to crank up the pressure ever so slightly ahead of Man City's match against Tottenham Hotspur in Saturday's evening kickoff.

The Reds may be hopeful of a favour from a Spurs side that has already beaten Man City this season, but first they must hold up their end of the bargain to close the gap on the leaders to six points - if only temporarily.

Liverpool's game in hand, as well as the fact that they still have to face Man City, offer them hope in the title race, but they will know that they can ill-afford any slip-ups against the likes of Norwich, whom Man City hammered 4-0 at Carrow Road just last weekend.

The form book does not show many signs of such a slip-up, though; Liverpool are unbeaten in their 10 matches across all competitions since the turn of the year, winning eight of those including all of the last seven in a row.

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp celebrates after the match on February 13, 2022© Reuters

Those wins have not all come with the same style and panache that has become a hallmark of Klopp's Liverpool, most notably their 1-0 win at Burnley in their last Premier League match.

The points from those scrappy wins are no less valuable, though, and since that battling display at Turf Moor the Reds have also won away to Italian champions Inter Milan.

A 2-0 win at San Siro on Wednesday - secured through late goals from Roberto Firmino and Mohamed Salah with Liverpool's only two shots on target throughout the game - have put Liverpool in control of their last-16 tie, keeping them well in the hunt for all four trophies this season.

The Reds cannot afford to let their minds begin to drift towards the first of those - an EFL Cup final with Chelsea at the end of the month - just yet, and despite being firm favourites for Saturday's match, Klopp will not allow them to underestimate an improving Norwich side.

For much of the season Norwich have been regarded by many as sure-fire relegation fodder, but seven points from the last 12 on offer have catapulted them off the bottom of the table and up to 18th.

Norwich City manager Dean Smith on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Four points still separate them from safety, and they have played more games than all of the teams around them in the table, but recent victories over Everton and Watford - doubling their tally of wins for the season - have at least offered a serious glimmer of hope.

The 3-0 Watford win was particularly remarkable for a number of reasons, not least as it accounted for half of their measly six-goal tally away from home this season, although they are still the division's lowest scorers this season with just 14 from their 24 games - not ideal when coming up against a side on a run of three clean sheets in a row.

It also gives Norwich the chance to win back-to-back Premier League away games for the first time in more than a decade, although achieving that at Anfield would take a seismic shock considering the Reds are unbeaten in their last 15 home league games, winning the last six in a row by an aggregate score of 17-1.

Norwich themselves have only won one of their last 12 league visits to Anfield, with that coming all the way back in 1994, while they have also won just one of their last 25 away top-flight games against teams in the top three of the table.

However, across all competitions Norwich have now won three of their last four away games, so there are signs of improvement on the road for the Canaries, and they will be hoping to take full advantage of any European hangover for Liverpool on Merseyside this weekend.

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Norwich City Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Norwich City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Liverpool attacker Diogo Jota pictured on February 10, 2022© Reuters

Liverpool will be without Diogo Jota for this match after the Portugal international was taken off at half time of the Champions League win over Inter Milan with a swollen ankle.

Jota's injury is reportedly more serious than first feared, which could mean that he is doubtful for the EFL Cup final on February 27.

Klopp is in the rare position of having no other injury concerns, but with a midweek match against Leeds United to come before the EFL Cup final next week, he could make changes to his starting XI.

Luis Diaz will be hoping to come into the side following a bright start to his Liverpool career, while Firmino, Jordan Henderson and Joel Matip are among the other players who will be pushing for a recall.

Firmino has had a direct hand in five goals from his last four appearances against Norwich, while Salah can boast an even better record than that with five goal contributions in his last three against them.

Norwich have been rocked by the news that Adam Idah will miss the remainder of the season as he needs surgery on his knee injury.

There could be better news elsewhere, though, with Mathias Normann closing in on a return and Ozan Kabak having recovered from illness ahead of a possible return to Anfield.

Tim Krul and Jacob Sorensen are thought to still be a week or so away from fitness, while Lukas Rupp is now back in rehab and Saturday's match is also likely to come too soon for Andrew Omobamidele.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Keita; Salah, Firmino, Diaz

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Gunn; Aarons, Hanley, Gibson, Williams; Gilmour, Lees-Melou, McLean; Sargent, Pukki, Rashica


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 3-0 Norwich City

Norwich have undoubtedly improved in the past month or so, but last weekend's defeat to Man City showed that they still struggle against the very best and it may be a similar story against Liverpool this weekend.

The Reds have averaged over three goals per game during a 15-match unbeaten league run against Norwich which includes 13 wins, while across the entire history of the Premier League they boast a better goals-per-game ratio against Norwich than they do against any other club.

With Salah having rediscovered his scoring touch in midweek we can see the hosts rippling the back of the net on a few occasions again, and Norwich's attacking record this season does not give us any reason to back them getting anything in reply.

Liverpool have already beaten Norwich 3-0 on two occasions this season, and we believe that they could make it a hat-trick of convincing wins on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 86.4%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 3.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs Norwich

Liverpool
88.3%
Draw
3.4%
Norwich City
8.3%
145
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Jurgen Klopp and Jordan Henderson celebrating Liverpool's Champions League win over Inter Milan on February 16, 2022.
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