Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.