Ligue 2 | Gameweek 34
May 10, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Guingamp

Pau
1 - 3
Guingamp

Mille (43')
Mboup (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ghrieb (40'), Picard (56'), Sagna (81')
Sidibe (66'), Picard (85'), Picard (85')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 4-2 Pau
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Guingamp

All competitions
Last Game: Guingamp 2-2 Bastia
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
PauDrawGuingamp
37.42% (1.064 1.06)26.19% (0.032 0.03)36.38% (-1.09 -1.09)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (-0.128 -0.13)51.01% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.112 -0.11)72.87% (0.119 0.12)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.55199999999999 0.55)26.5% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (0.725 0.73)61.7% (-0.719 -0.72)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.685 -0.69)27.1% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.906 -0.91)62.48% (0.912 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Pau 37.42%
    Guingamp 36.38%
    Draw 26.19%
PauDrawGuingamp
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.226 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.38%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 9
Guingamp
0-1
Pau

Maronnier (6'), Sidibe (86')
Boutaib (58')
Beusnard (1'), Bobichon (40'), Koudou (90+1')
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 35
Pau
1-2
Guingamp
Bassouamina (90+2')
Kouassi (56'), Ahoussou (87'), Boutaib (90+5')
Picard (15'), Gaspar (90+3' og.)
Sivis (56'), Siwe (90+5')
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Guingamp
4-0
Pau
Sidibe (17'), Gomis (38'), Sagna (50'), Sivis (89')
Sidibe (36'), Gomis (42'), N'Dour (82')

Kamara (38'), Sylla (90+4')
Apr 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 32
Pau
2-1
Guingamp
Saivet (14'), Begraoui (73')
Picard (5')
Jul 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Guingamp
4-0
Pau
Livolant (22'), Gaudin (32', 52'), Merghem (34')
Louiserre (62')

Batisse (29'), George (45'), Beusnard (55'), Kouassi (57'), Abzi (67')