Amiens
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 33
May 2, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Credit Agricole de la Licorne

Amiens
4 - 2
Pau

Mafouta (7', 24'), Leautey (17'), Mbaye (86')
Mafouta (70')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Koudou (33'), Bangre (67')
Kante (47')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Amiens and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Amiens

All competitions
Last Game: Laval 1-0 Amiens
Friday, April 25 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 2-1 Metz
Saturday, April 26 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.

Result
AmiensDrawPau
40.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)26.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.83% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)51.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.53% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Amiens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)59.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.012 0.01)29.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.33% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Amiens 40.4%
    Pau 33.31%
    Draw 26.28%
AmiensDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.4%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.31%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 10
Pau
0-2
Amiens

Mboup (79')
Urhoghide (10'), Leautey (30')
Mar 30, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 30
Amiens
2-3
Pau
Mafouta (18'), Kakuta (53')
Gelin (32'), Urhoghide (64'), Carroll (66')
Boutaib (56'), Saivet (60'), Sylla (75')
Boutaib (17'), Ahoussou (45+1'), Beusnard (64')
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Pau
1-0
Amiens
Saivet (21' pen.)
Ruiz (60'), D'Almeida (90+5')
Mar 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 26
Amiens
1-0
Pau
Leautey (6')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Pau
2-1
Amiens
Barry (4' og.), Lambert Evans (67')
Bande (82')