Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Montpellier
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
Pau
  • Julien Laporte 54' yellowcard
  • Théo Sainte-Luce 72' goal
  • Hichem Abderrebi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Akim Abdallah 51'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 60'
  • yellowcard Luan Gadegbeku 90'+3'

Montpellier HSC vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
St Etienne 3 - 1 Montpellier
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Yaël Mouanga

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 1 - 1 Sochaux
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Babacar Leye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.32% and a win for Pau had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%) , while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Montpellier HSC 44.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 28.32%
Pau 27.54% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 49.42%
Under 2.5 50.58%
Over 3.5 27.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.55% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 37.71%
Draw 43.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Pau 18.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 58.19% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Pau 33.16% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.15%
Equal 8 11.83%
Under 8 36.03%
Over 9 40.64%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 47.85%
Over 10.5 30.34%
Under 10.5 69.66%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 43.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.35% ▲ (+0.04)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 62.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 10.34%
Under 2.5 89.66%
Over 3.5 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 44.16%
Draw 28.3%
Pau 27.55%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 44.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.3%
Pau
0-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.55%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Pau
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Montpellier
  • Omar Sadik 22' yellowcard
  • Julien Anziani 66' yellowcard
  • Antonin Bobichon 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everson Jr 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mincarelli 66'
  • yellowcard Enzo Molebe 75'
  • yellowcard Axel Guéguin 89'
Ligue 2
Montpellier
Dec 6, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Pau
  • Khalil Fayad 39' yellowcard
  • Theo Chennahi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rayan Touzghar 17'
  • yellowcard Rayan Touzghar 23'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 33'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Sadik 41'
  • yellowcard Setigui Karamoko 85'
  • yellowcard Neil Glossoa 90'

Form Data

St Etienne 3 - 1 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 0 Boulogne
Dunkerque 0 - 1 Montpellier
Nancy 0 - 1 Montpellier
Montpellier 1 - 1 Dijon
Montpellier 4 - 2 Rodez AF
Pau 1 - 1 Sochaux
Rodez AF 2 - 2 Pau
Pau 0 - 1 Nancy
Dijon 0 - 1 Pau
Pau 0 - 1 Annecy
Pau 1 - 2 Real Union