Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Montpellier
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
Stade de la Mosson
Pau

Montpellier HSC vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
St Etienne 3 - 1 Montpellier
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Yaël Mouanga

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 1 - 1 Sochaux
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Babacar Leye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw has a probability of 28.32% and a win for Pau has a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.38%) , while for a Pau win it is 0-1 (7.87%).

Result

Montpellier HSC 44.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 28.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Pau 27.48% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 49.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 50.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.5% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Montpellier HSC 37.71% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 43.39% ▲ (+0.19)
Pau 18.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Montpellier HSC 58.18% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Pau 33.19% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.83%
Under 8 36.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 40.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 47.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 1.5 43.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 19.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 62.8% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 37.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 29.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 70.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 10.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 44.21%
Draw 28.32%
Pau 27.48%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 44.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.32%
Pau
0-1 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.48%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Pau
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Montpellier
  • Omar Sadik 22' yellowcard
  • Julien Anziani 66' yellowcard
  • Antonin Bobichon 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everson Jr 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mincarelli 66'
  • yellowcard Enzo Molebe 75'
  • yellowcard Axel Guéguin 89'
Ligue 2
Montpellier
Dec 6, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Pau
  • Khalil Fayad 39' yellowcard
  • Theo Chennahi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rayan Touzghar 17'
  • yellowcard Rayan Touzghar 23'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 33'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Sadik 41'
  • yellowcard Setigui Karamoko 85'
  • yellowcard Neil Glossoa 90'

Form Data

St Etienne 3 - 1 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 0 Boulogne
Dunkerque 0 - 1 Montpellier
Nancy 0 - 1 Montpellier
Montpellier 1 - 1 Dijon
Montpellier 4 - 2 Rodez AF
Pau 1 - 1 Sochaux
Rodez AF 2 - 2 Pau
Pau 0 - 1 Nancy
Dijon 0 - 1 Pau
Pau 0 - 1 Annecy
Pau 1 - 2 Real Union