Ligue 2 Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 7.45pm
Dijon 2 - 3 St Etienne
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Irvin Cardona

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
Montpellier 0 - 0 Boulogne
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Yaël Mouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw has a probability of 27.05% and a win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%) , while for a Montpellier HSC win it is 1-2 (6.19%).

Result

Saint-Etienne 48.02% (-0.26)
Draw 27.05% (-0.27)
Montpellier HSC 24.92% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.15% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.1% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 22.9% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 54.06% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 45.94% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 32.1% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.9% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.12% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.88% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Saint-Etienne 34.08% (-0.77)
Draw 47.81% (+0.47)
Montpellier HSC 18.11% (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Saint-Etienne 58.36% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.18% (+0.17)
Montpellier HSC 34.46% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 54.04% (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.59% (+0.12)
Under 8 34.37% (+0.13)
Over 9 42.58% (-0.35)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.09)
Under 9 45.96% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 32.14% (-0.40)
Under 10.5 67.86% (+0.40)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 1.5 48.27% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 51.73% (+0.71)
Over 2.5 23.25% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 76.75% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 9.44% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 90.56% (+0.13)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.77% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.64% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 70.36% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 11% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 89% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.47% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.53% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Saint-Etienne 48.01%
Draw 27.06%
Montpellier HSC 24.92%
Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.28)
1-0 @ 9.53% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.72% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.08)
Other @ 9.03%
Total : 48.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.18% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.41% (-0.14)
Total : 27.06%
Montpellier HSC
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.18)
0-1 @ 6.18% (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.41% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.23)
Other @ 3.06% (+0.07)
Total : 24.92%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Irvin Cardona 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Duffus 71' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Kanté 71' yellowcard
  • Julien Le Cardinal 77' goal
  • Nadir El Jamali 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 66'
  • yellowcard Enzo Molebe 68'
  • yellowcard Ayanda Sishuba 88'
Ligue 2
Oct 4, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
Aband. Stade de la Mosson
  • Teji Savanier 15' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zuriko Davitashvili 7'
  • yellowcard Maxime Bernauer 9'
  • goal Lucas Stassin 11'
  • redcard Maxime Bernauer 45'
  • goal Lucas Stassin 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Benjamin Bouchouari 47' goal
  • Zuriko Davitashvili 57' yellowcard
  • Augustine Boakye 62' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Bouchouari 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joris Chotard 28'
  • yellowcard Rabby Nzingoula 34'
  • yellowcard Enzo Tchato 41'
  • yellowcard Issiaga Sylla 56'
  • yellowcard Moussa Al Tamari 56'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Wahbi Khazri 85' goal
  • goal Antoine Gauthier 14'
  • yellowcard Yunis Abdelhamid 20'
  • goal Ibrahim Sissoko 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2022 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eliaquim Mangala 16' yellowcard
  • Romain Hamouma 82' goal
  • Arnaud Nordin 90' goal
  • Wahbi Khazri 90'+2' goal
  • goal Elye Wahi 11'