Ligue 2 Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Maxime Bernauer 41' goal
  • Augustine Boakye 45' yellowcard
  • Augustine Boakye 49' goal
  • Ian Cathro 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Duffus 71' goal
  • yellowcard Zoumana Camara 42'
  • goal Daylam Meddah 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Naoufel El Hannach 59'
  • yellowcard Daylam Meddah 67'

Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 7.45pm
Dijon 2 - 3 St Etienne
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Irvin Cardona

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
Montpellier 0 - 0 Boulogne
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Yaël Mouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.11% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Saint-Etienne 48.02%
Draw 27.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Montpellier HSC 24.9% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.18% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 22.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 54.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 19.12%
Under 4.5 80.88%

First Half Winner

Saint-Etienne 34.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 47.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Montpellier HSC 18.05% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Saint-Etienne 58.39% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Montpellier HSC 34.44% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 34.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 42.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 45.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 32.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 1.5 48.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 62.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.47%
Under 3.5 96.53%

Score analysis

Saint-Etienne 48.02%
Draw 27.11%
Montpellier HSC 24.91%
Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.11%
Montpellier HSC
1-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.91%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Irvin Cardona 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Duffus 71' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Kanté 71' yellowcard
  • Julien Le Cardinal 77' goal
  • Nadir El Jamali 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 66'
  • yellowcard Enzo Molebe 68'
  • yellowcard Ayanda Sishuba 88'
Ligue 2
Oct 4, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
Aband. Stade de la Mosson
  • Teji Savanier 15' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zuriko Davitashvili 7'
  • yellowcard Maxime Bernauer 9'
  • goal Lucas Stassin 11'
  • redcard Maxime Bernauer 45'
  • goal Lucas Stassin 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Benjamin Bouchouari 47' goal
  • Zuriko Davitashvili 57' yellowcard
  • Augustine Boakye 62' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Bouchouari 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joris Chotard 28'
  • yellowcard Rabby Nzingoula 34'
  • yellowcard Enzo Tchato 41'
  • yellowcard Issiaga Sylla 56'
  • yellowcard Moussa Al Tamari 56'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Wahbi Khazri 85' goal
  • goal Antoine Gauthier 14'
  • yellowcard Yunis Abdelhamid 20'
  • goal Ibrahim Sissoko 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2022 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eliaquim Mangala 16' yellowcard
  • Romain Hamouma 82' goal
  • Arnaud Nordin 90' goal
  • Wahbi Khazri 90'+2' goal
  • goal Elye Wahi 11'