Ligue 2
Aug 28, 2026 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Paul Lignon
  • Raphaël Lipinski  3' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Baldé 28' goal
  • Loni Laurent 70' yellowcard
  • Loni Laurent 71' yellowcard
  • Octave Joly 83' goal
  • Mathis Magnin 89' yellowcard
  • goal Babacar Leye 2'
  • yellowcard Thierry Debes 31'
  • goal Babacar Leye 37'
  • yellowcard Hacène Benali 45'+3'

Rodez AF vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodez AF

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 1.00pm
Nantes 2 - 5 Rodez AF
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Ibrahima Baldé

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.00pm
Pau 0 - 1 Nancy
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Babacar Leye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.35% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Rodez AF 47.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 27.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Pau 25.19% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.35% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 49.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 28.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.7% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rodez AF 33.28% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 45.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Pau 20.9% ▼ (-0.16)

Team To Score First

Rodez AF 55.17% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 8% ▲ (+0.02)
Pau 36.83% ▼ (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 53.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 35.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 42.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 46.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 31.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 68.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Rodez AF Goals

Over 1.5 46.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.12%
Under 2.5 78.88%
Over 3.5 8.24%
Under 3.5 91.76%

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 61.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 38.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 27.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.24% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Rodez AF 47.44%
Draw 27.35%
Pau 25.21%
Rodez AF
1-0 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.35%
Pau
0-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.21%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2026 1.00am
Stade Municipal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Antonin Bobichon 4' yellowcard
  • Antonin Bobichon 21' goal
  • Omar Sadik 48' yellowcard
  • Setigui Karamoko 56' yellowcard
  • Giovani Versini 59' goal
  • Rayane Messi 76' yellowcard
  • Kyliane Dong 77' yellowcard
  • Neil Glossoa 77' yellowcard
  • Cheikh Fall 81' yellowcard
  • goal Samy Benchamma 5'
  • goal Ibrahima Baldé 23'
  • yellowcard Octave Joly 64'
  • yellowcard Kenny Nagera 81'
  • yellowcard Loni Laurent 81'
  • goal Clément Jolibois 86'
  • yellowcard Mathis Saka 89'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Baaloudj 89'
Ligue 2
Sep 26, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 2, 2025 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2025 7.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Tairyk Arconte 8' yellowcard
  • Jean Ruiz 62' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Cadiou 10'
  • yellowcard Waniss Taibi 45'
  • goal Noah Cadiou 45'+3'
  • goal Timothee NKada 66'
  • goal Tawfik Bentayeb 69'
  • goal Ibrahima Balde 79'
  • yellowcard Abdel Hakim Abdallah 80'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Paul Lignon
  • Tawfik Bentayeb 88' goal