Ligue 2 Gameweek 33
May 2, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Michel d'Ornano
  • Ilyes Najim 72' goal
  • goal Aliou Badji 31'
  • yellowcard Dylan Durivaux 84'
  • yellowcard Josue Escartin 90'+4'

Caen vs Red Star - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 7.00pm
Lorient 4 - 0 Caen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 7.00pm
Red Star 1 - 1 Clermont
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Aliou Badji

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Red Star had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Red Star win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Caen 49.22% (+0.01)
Draw 23.59%
Red Star 27.19% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.46% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.9% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.69% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 65.31% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.04% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.96% (+0.01)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5 82.43%
Under 0.5 17.57% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.12%

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5 70.92% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.08% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Caen 49.22%
Draw 23.58%
Red Star 27.19%
Caen
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 49.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.58%
Red Star
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.19%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de Paris
  • Damien Durand 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryad Hachem 65' goal
  • Damien Durand 81' goal
  • Hacene Benali 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Noe Lebreton 11'
  • yellowcard Valentin Henry 43'
  • goal Tidiam Gomis 63'
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 10, 2024 6.00pm
Stade Michel d'Ornano