Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Moses Simon 18' goal
  • Francis Coquelin 31' goal
  • Sorba Thomas 53' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Pallois 57' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 71' yellowcard
  • Matthis Abline 79' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Chennahi 49'

Nantes vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
Auxerre 1 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Moses Simon

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 4 PSG
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result

Nantes 50.63% (+3.04)
Draw 24.4% (-0.22)
Montpellier HSC 24.97% (-2.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68% (-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.74% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 48.26% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 29.59% (-1.09)
Under 3.5 70.41% (+1.09)
Over 4.5 14.39% (-0.76)
Under 4.5 85.61% (+0.76)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 80.93% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 19.08% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 49.32% (+1.27)
Under 1.5 50.68% (-1.27)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 66.33% (-2.86)
Under 0.5 33.67% (+2.86)
Over 1.5 29.68% (-3.24)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+3.24)

Score analysis

Nantes 50.63%
Draw 24.4%
Montpellier HSC 24.97%
Nantes
1-0 @ 10.64% (+0.75)
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 8.82% (+0.82)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.23)
3-0 @ 4.87% (+0.56)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.2% (+0.15)
4-0 @ 2.02% (+0.28)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.42% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.4%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.55)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.44)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.41)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.29)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.97%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Akor Adams 30' goal
  • Rabby Nzingoula 85' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Matthis Abline 24'
  • goal Moses Simon 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Coco 81'
  • goal Mostafa Mohamed 85'
  • yellowcard Alban Lafont 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Akor Adams 2' goal
  • Teji Savanier 24' yellowcard
  • Enzo Tchato 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mincarelli 90'+1' redcard
  • Arnaud Nordin 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Matthis Abline 7'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sissoko 45'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Florent Mollet 44' goal
  • Florent Mollet 65' yellowcard
  • Kader Bamba 74' goal
  • Kader Bamba 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubakar Kouyate 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jordan Ferri 38'
  • goal Arnaud Nordin 47'
  • goal Falaye Sacko 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Andrei Girotto 45'+13'
  • goal Mostafa Mohamed 81'
  • goal Ludovic Blas 84'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 30' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 69' goal
  • Willem Geubbels 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 79'