Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 4
Rennes

Ferri (18'), Kouyate (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fofana (28'), Cisse (56'), Assignon (69'), Kalimuendo (87')
Fofana (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 23 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Reims
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Rennes
20.01% ( 0.75)	22.01% ( 0.44)	57.99% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 54.97% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.59% (

-0.87)

43.41% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-0.87)

65.8% (

0.87)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.27)

35.56% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

0.28)

72.33% (

-0.27)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

-0.66)

14.69% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13% (

-1.29)

42.87% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 20.01%

Rennes 57.99%

Draw 22.01%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.01%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.01%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.35% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.79% Total : 57.99%