Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 2
Lens

Sainte-Luce (18'), Kouyate (50'), Sagnan (78'), Chotard (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

N'Zola (1'), Nosakhare Agbonifo (61')
Machado (45+6'), Medina (45+7'), Ojediran (90+6')
(26'), Still (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Angers
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
17.5% ( 0.08)	21.67% ( 0.05)	60.83% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23% (

-0.1)

45.77% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.09)

68.08% (

0.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.29% (

0.04)

39.71% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.62% (

0.03)

76.38% (

-0.04)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

-0.08)

14.57% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36% (

-0.14)

42.64% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 17.5%

Lens 60.82%

Draw 21.67%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.5%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.67%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 60.82%