Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 2
Auxerre

Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Montpellier
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lorient	1	1	3
9	Montpellier HSC	2	-2	3
10	Clermont	2	-3	3

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Rennes	2	-1	1
18	Auxerre	2	-3	1
19	Reims	2	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Auxerre
41.66% ( -0.73)	24.69% ( -0.09)	33.65% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 58.32% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3% (

0.67)

44.69% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

0.64)

67.05% (

-0.64)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.06)

21.49% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.09)

54.53% (

0.09)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

0.82)

25.71% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

1.1)

60.63% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 41.66%

Auxerre 33.65%

Draw 24.68%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.65%