Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
4 - 2
Rennes

Greenwood (21' pen., 45+1'), Rabiot (38', 90+2')
Felipe (40'), Murillo (64'), Dedic (89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kone (14'), Gomez (77')
Kone (29'), Rouault (30'), Assignon (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Rennes
58.74% ( 0.22)	20.34% ( -0.04)	20.93% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 62.48% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.75% (

-0.06)

34.25% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.85% (

-0.06)

56.15% (

0.07)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.48% (

0.04)

11.52% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.59% (

0.09)

36.41% (

-0.09)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.19)

29.39% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-0.23)

65.38% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Marseille 58.74%

Rennes 20.93%

Draw 20.34%

Marseille	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.74%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.34%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 20.93%