Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Mason Greenwood 21' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 38' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 45'+1' goal
  • Michael Murillo 64' yellowcard
  • Amar Dedic 89' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ismael Kone 14'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 29'
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 30'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 50'
  • goal Andres Gomez 77'

Marseille vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
Le Havre 1 - 3 Marseille
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
Rennes 2 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Arnaud Kalimuendo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Marseille 58.74% (+0.22)
Draw 20.34% (-0.04)
Rennes 20.93% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.48% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.75% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 34.25% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 43.85% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 56.15% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 25.31% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 74.69% (+0.06)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 88.48% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 11.52% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 63.59% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 36.41% (-0.09)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 70.61% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 29.39% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 34.62% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 65.38% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Marseille 58.74%
Draw 20.34%
Rennes 20.93%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.32% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.98% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.7% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 58.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.39% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.34%
Rennes
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 20.93%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 43' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Greenwood 45'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Martin Terrier 21' goal
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 77' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 38'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 80'
Coupe de France
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Route de Lorient
  • Desire Doue 27' yellowcard
  • Martin Terrier 53' goal
  • Bertug Yildirim 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Veretout 29'
  • yellowcard Jean Onana 36'
  • yellowcard Ulisses Garcia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 49'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 8' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 65' goal
  • Iliman Ndiaye 67' redcard
  • Francois-Regis Mughe 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baptiste Santamaria 36'
  • redcard Christopher Wooh 61'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 76'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 57'
Coupe de France
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Matteo Guendouzi 59' goal