Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36

May 8, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
2 - 1
Montpellier

Rashani (4'), Bayo (69' pen.)
Abdul Samed (35'), Gastien (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chotard (32')
Mollet (24'), Dall'Oglio (25'), Souquet (71'), Leroy (74'), Chotard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Montpellier HSC
47.63% ( 0.02)	24.76% ( -0)	27.62% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.89% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.24% (

0.01)

47.76% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.05% (

0.01)

69.95% (

-0.01)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

0.01)

20.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

0.02)

52.36% (

-0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

-0)

31.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36% (

-0.01)

67.65% (

Score Analysis

Clermont 47.62%

Montpellier HSC 27.62%

Draw 24.75%

Clermont	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.62%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.62%