Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Steve Mounie 21' goal
  • Hugo Magnetti 45' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magnetti 48' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Joris Chotard 44'
  • yellowcard Christopher Jullien 57'

Brest vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
Brest 4 - 0 Lorient
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Romain Del Castillo

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result

Brest 53.36% (+0.25)
Draw 24.18% (-0.07)
Montpellier HSC 22.46% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.28% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 49.72% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.27% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.73% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 13.49% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.51% (-0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 81.43% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 18.57% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 50.16% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 49.83% (-0.20)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 36.72% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 26.49% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 73.51% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Brest 53.35%
Draw 24.18%
Montpellier HSC 22.46%
Brest
1-0 @ 11.48% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.67% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.18%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.46%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Teji Savanier 24' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 51' goal
  • Akor Adams 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Maxime Esteve 20' (OG)
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 30'
  • yellowcard Romain Del Castillo 45'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 64'
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Christophe Herelle 4' goal
  • Teji Savanier 17' goal
  • Elye Wahi 54' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 5
FT
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 50' redcard
  • goal Faitout Maouassa 6'
  • goal Elye Wahi 10'
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 11'
  • goal Nicolas Cozza 25'
  • goal Elye Wahi 31'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Nordin 62'
  • goal Valere Germain 64'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 71'
  • goal Valere Germain 84'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stephy Mavididi 32' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Sakho 33' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Satriano 7'
  • yellowcard Christophe Herelle 31'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 66'
  • goal Martin Satriano 69'
  • goal Franck Honorat 79'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Dec 11, 2021 4.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Christophe Herelle 62' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magnetti 84' yellowcard
  • goal Elye Wahi 45'+1'
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 47'
  • goal Junior Sambia 60'
  • goal Valere Germain 85'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Florent Mollet 39' redcard
  • yellowcard Steve Mounie 42'
  • yellowcard Haris Belkebla 50'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 72'