Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.