MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 11:37:26| >> :600:363476:363476:
[monks data]
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lille
Lens
1 - 0
Lille
Frankowski (74')
Leca (57'), Sotoca (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mandava (22'), Celik (90+3')

Preview: Lens vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lille travel to the Stade Bollaert-Delelis to face Lens on Saturday afternoon in the sixth round of games of this developing Ligue 1 season.

The visitors may be the reigning champions, but it is the home side who are having the better campaign so far this season.


Match preview

Lens head coach Franck Haise pictured in October 2020© Reuters

The Lens revival under Franck Haise continues, after a strong start to the season leaves the northern team sitting fifth in the table, just two points behind second-placed Angers.

Now on an unbeaten run of eight consecutive games, stretching back to early July, Lens look confident at the moment and secured a dramatic win away at Bordeaux on Sunday.

Two first-half goals from Gael Kakuta and Facundo Medina put les Sang et Or in control, but Bordeaux got one back on the hour mark and Jean Onana looked to have earned the hosts a point with an 88th-minute equaliser, only for Florian Sotoca, who had hit the crossbar earlier in the game, to strike six minutes into added time from the penalty spot.

Defensively, Haise's men have not been the strongest, only keeping one clean sheet all season, but they have proven their ability to fight for results, having come from behind in all three of their draws so far this campaign.

After finishing seventh last season on their return to Ligue 1, Lens are beginning to believe that they can go one step further this time around and challenge for the European spots.

Lille coach Jocelyn Gourvennec gives instructions to his players on September 14, 2021© Reuters

If Lens are on the way up, Lille appear to be going in the opposite direction.

After an underwhelming transfer window this summer and the loss of their title-winning manager Christophe Galtier to Nice, Lille have instantly transformed from being a team with the league's best defence to the second-worst, having conceded fewer goals than only Bordeaux, who are currently propping up the league.

They have let in 11 goals in their first five games - in comparison, that is the number they conceded during the final 21 games of the 2020-21 campaign.

Two of those 11 goals came last weekend, when Terem Moffi's dramatic late winner gave Lorient a superb 2-1 win and sent last year's champions down to 12th in the table.

Les Dogues did, at least, keep a clean sheet during the week in a 0-0 stalemate against 10-man Wolfsburg in the Champions League group stage, but they will need to do far more if they are to stand any chance of defending their title.

Lens Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Lens form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Lille Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Lille form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Lille's Sven Botman receives medical attention after sustaining an injury as Burak Yilmaz looks on on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Teenage centre-back Christopher Wooh was fit to return to the bench for the previous two games but is yet to break back into the Lens starting XI as yet.

The only remaining injury concern for Haise is Massadio Haidara, who is still out with a calf injury, and Cheick Oumar Doucoure will also be returning from a two-match ban.

Gourvennec has a few more injuries to deal with - forwards Timothy Weah and Jonathan Bamba are sidelined with thigh problems, whilst Renato Sanches will be out for a few more weeks with a knee issue.

Right-back Zeki Celik and attacker Jonathan David returned for the midweek Champions League game, though, and Domagoj Bradaric may also be fit to return to the bench on Saturday.

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Gradit, Danso, Medina; Clauss, Fofana, Cahuzac, Frankowski; Kakuta, Sotoca, Ganago

Lille possible starting lineup:
Grbic; Celik, Fonte, Botman, Reinildo; Ikone, Andre, Xeka, Yazici; David, Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Lens 2-2 Lille

Lens have already beaten one of last season's title contenders, when they saw off Monaco 2-0 away from home. Lille will be determined to get their season going, however, and - considering the two teams' defensive deficiencies - we are backing a high-scoring draw here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:463923:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10487:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
45.5%
Draw
32.5%
Lille
22.1%
77
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Paris Saint-Germain's Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring against Barcelona in the Champions League on March 10, 2021
Read Next:
Sports Mole's Ligue 1 Team of the Season - Mbappe, Depay, Yilmaz
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26178162233959
2Brest26138536201647
3MonacoMonaco26137647361146
4Lille261110537231443
5Nice2612772720743
6Lens2612683527842
7Marseille26109740281239
8Rennes2610974031939
9Reims26115103435-138
10Lyon26104123040-1034
11Toulouse2678112936-729
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2678112839-1129
13Le HavreLe Havre2669112633-727
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2669113140-926
15Lorient2668123549-1426
16NantesNantes2674152441-1725
17Metz2665152339-1623
18Clermont2648141943-2420

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!