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Attendance: 16,178
Hull logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Feb 29, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
 
Leeds logo

0-4

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ayling (5'), Hernandez (47'), Roberts (81', 84')

Preview: Hull City vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Leeds United will be looking to make it four straight Championship victories when they travel to Hull City on Saturday afternoon.

The Whites have picked up nine points from their last three fixtures to consolidate second spot in the table, while Hull have dropped into 17th position as they continue to struggle for form.


Match preview

Mallik Wilks celebrates equalising for Hull City on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Hull continue to slide down the Championship table and are now dangerously close to the relegation zone, with just four points separating them from 21st-placed Wigan Athletic on the same number of matches.

The Tigers have still not won in the league since overcoming Sheffield Wednesday on New Year's Day, losing seven of their nine fixtures since then during a torrid run of form.

Grant McCann's side have lost their last two to Preston North End and Barnsley, meanwhile, and a home game against one of the best teams in the division is not quite what they need at this moment in time.

Hull have also only won one of their last seven matches with Leeds in all competitions, although they did record a surprise 2-0 victory at Elland Road during the 2018-19 campaign.

Leeds boss Marcelo Bielsa pops a squat on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Between New Year's Day and February 11, Leeds only picked up one Championship win, and it would be fair to say that there was a lot of concern among the supporters that the Whites could fall away.

Marcelo Bielsa's side have responded in impressive fashion, though, winning each of their last three in the Championship, all 1-0, to consolidate second spot in the table.

As it stands, Leeds are five points clear of third-placed Fulham, while they are only four points behind leaders West Bromwich Albion, who have only lost four of their 35 league matches this season.

Bielsa's team have the best defensive record in the second tier this term with only 30 goals conceded, and Wednesday's 1-0 victory at Middlesbrough was particularly impressive as they did come under pressure.

There is still a lot of football to be played between now and the end of the season but confidence has returned at an important time for the club, who are desperate to return to the Premier League.

Hull Championship form: LDLDLL

Leeds Championship form: LLDWWW


Team News

Kalvin Phillips in action for Leeds United on October 23, 2019© Reuters

Hull are facing another injury crisis having been hit by the news that Tom Eaves will miss the remainder of the season with an ankle issue.

Reece Burke, Jordy de Wijs and Jon Toral have also all suffered setbacks, although Mallik Wilks will be available having been ineligible against Barnsley, while Keane Lewis-Potter is also back from a hamstring problem.

James Scott, Eric Lichaj, Herbie Kane and Josh Bowler are still on the sidelines, though.

As for Leeds, the main talking point surrounds the fitness of Kalvin Phillips, who did not play against Boro on Wednesday night due to a calf problem.

The midfielder is being tipped to return to the starting XI for this match, but Jean-Kevin Augustin is out with a hamstring injury, while Adam Forshaw will miss the remainder of the season following hip surgery.

Phillips for Gaetano Berardi could be the only change from the side that started at the Riverside Stadium.

Hull possible starting lineup:
Long; McKenzie, Pennington, McLoughlin, Elder; Stewart, Lopes; Irvine, Honeyman, Maddison; Magennis

Leeds possible starting lineup:
Casilla; Ayling, White, Cooper, Dallas; Costa, Klich, Phillips, Hernandez, Harrison; Bamford


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hull 0-2 Leeds

It is really, really difficult to make a case for Hull in this weekend's contest. The Tigers have had a rotten 2020 thus far and will not relish facing one of the best teams in the division; we fancy Leeds to run out 2-0 winners at the KCOM Stadium in Saturday's early start.



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a win it was 1-0 (5.58%).


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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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