Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Enea stadion
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 40' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 29'
  • goal Malik Tillman 32'
  • goal Patrik Schick 41'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 68'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 80'
  • goal Ibrahim Maza 88'

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.36%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%).

Result

Lech Poznan 37.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.17%
Bayer Leverkusen 40.61% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.37% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 64.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 35.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 41.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 58.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 26.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.34% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 28.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 37.47%
Bayer Leverkusen 34.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 50.3%
No Goal 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen 45.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 22.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 55% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 33.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 43.25%
Under 10.5 56.75%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 43.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 79.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 8.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.54% ▲ (+0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 74.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 46.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 90.65% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 37.22%
Draw 22.17%
Bayer Leverkusen 40.63%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.52%
1-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 37.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.17%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 40.63%