Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.