Western Sydney

4 - 2

Victory

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.