Mar 15, 2025 8.30am

4

2

HT : 2 4

FT Spotless Stadium

Bozhidar Kraev 16'
Bozhidar Kraev 16'
Bozhidar Kraev 44'
Bozhidar Kraev 44'
Brandon Borrello 76'
Nicolas Milanovic 87'
Nicolas Milanovic 88'
Marcus Antonsson 90'+4'

Nishan Velupillay 34'
Nishan Velupillay 34'
Reno Piscopo 41'
Reno Piscopo 41'

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

W
W
W
D
W
L

Australian A-League

W
W
W
D
W
L

Last game

Mar 2, 2025 6.00am

Western Sydney 4 - 1 Perth Glory

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Nicolas Milanovic

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

W
D
D
W
L
W

Australian A-League

W
D
D
W
L
W

Last game

Mar 8, 2025 8.35am

Victory 3 - 0 Central Coast

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Western Sydney Wanderers 33.95% ▲ (+0.09)

Draw 22.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Melbourne Victory 43.27% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score:

65.44% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.56% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 2.5 35.43% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 3.5 42.53% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 3.5 57.47% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 4.5 24.2% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 4.5 75.79% ▼ (-0.11)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 78.81% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 0.5 21.19% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 1.5 45.93% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 1.5 54.07% ▼ (-0.16)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 83.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 16.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 52.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 47.06% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 33.95%

Draw 22.78%

Melbourne Victory 43.27%

Western Sydney Wanderers

2-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)

4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.73%

Total : 33.95%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.4%

Total : 22.78%

Melbourne Victory

1-2 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.02)

0-1 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.04)

0-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.02)

1-4 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)

2-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)

0-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.32%

Total : 43.27%

Head to Head

Jan 4, 2025 8.35am

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Roderick Miranda 29'
Jordi Valadon 75'
Ryan Teague 87'

Jack Clisby 33'
Oscar Priestman 41'
Aydan Hammond 45'
Nicolas Milanovic 76'
Alexander Badolato 76'
Nicolas Milanovic 90'
Jesse Cameron 90'+2'

Apr 27, 2024 10.45am

3

4

HT : 2 2

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Zinedine Machach 4'
Chris Ikonomidis 7'
Daniel Arzani 15'
Connor Chapman 17'
Daniel Arzani 55'

Oscar Priestman 19'
Lachlan Brook 20'
Nicolas Milanovic 35'
Jack Clisby 45'+3'
Aydan Hammond 73'
Oscar Priestman 87'

Dec 10, 2023 6.00am

3

4

HT : 0 4

FT Spotless Stadium

Marcus Antonsson 57'
Marcus Antonsson 57'
Nicolas Milanovic 71'
Nicolas Milanovic 71'
Marcus Antonsson 88'
Marcus Antonsson 88'
Valentino Yuel 90'+1'
Valentino Yuel 90'+1'

Bruno Fornaroli 8'
Bruno Fornaroli 8'
Zinedine Machach 32'
Zinedine Machach 32'
Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
Bruno Fornaroli 51'
Bruno Fornaroli 51'
Bruno Fornaroli 74'
Bruno Fornaroli 74'

Apr 15, 2023 10.45am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Spotless Stadium

Brandon Borrello 45'+1'
Amor Layouni 81'

Nishan Velupillay 56'

Oct 15, 2022 9.45am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT AAMI Park

Tomislav Mrcela 41'

Mar 27, 2022 9.05am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Brendan Hamill 68'
Roderick Miranda 88'
Jason Davidson 90'+1'

Steven Ugarkovic 79'
Steven Ugarkovic 90'+6'

Form Data

Western Sydney 4 - 1 Perth Glory

Central Coast 0 - 4 Western Sydney

Western Sydney 2 - 1 Macarthur

Sydney FC 3 - 3 Western Sydney

Brisbane Roar 0 - 1 Western Sydney

Western Sydney 0 - 1 Auckland FC

Victory 3 - 0 Central Coast

Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Victory

Victory 2 - 2 Melbourne City

Victory 1 - 0 Wellington

Newcastle Jets 3 - 0 Victory

Perth Glory 0 - 2 Victory