Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.