Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Kwadwo Baah 30' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 57' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 59' yellowcard
  • Rocco Vata 90'+5' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Zak Swanson 11'
  • yellowcard John Mousinho 31'
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schmid 59'
  • yellowcard Josh Murphy 60'
  • yellowcard Callum Lang 64'
  • yellowcard Zak Swanson 75'
  • yellowcard Owen Moxon 90'

Watford vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
Burnley 2 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Portsmouth 4 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result

Watford 56.73% (-0.07)
Draw 24.07% (+0.02)
Portsmouth 19.2% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.26% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.98% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.39% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 74.61% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.61% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.39% (-0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 81.47% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.53% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.23% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.77% (+0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 58.01% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.99% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 21.58% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 78.42% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Watford 56.72%
Draw 24.07%
Portsmouth 19.2%
Watford
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 56.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.07%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 6.75% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.2%

Head to Head

Championship
Jan 2, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dave Kitson 79' yellowcard
  • Hayden Mullins 87' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 56'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 66'
  • redcard Scott Loach 82'
Championship
Nov 19, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Kightly 2' goal
  • Jonathan Hogg 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dave Kitson 57'
Championship
Jan 1, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Taylor 42' goal
  • Marvin Sordell 52' goal
  • Danny Graham 69' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 57'
  • yellowcard John Utaka 74'
  • redcard Greg Halford 90'
Championship
Oct 16, 2010 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hayden Mullins 17' goal
  • Aaron Mokoena 33' yellowcard
  • David Nugent 56' yellowcard
  • Dave Kitson 72' goal
  • Michael Brown 80' goal
  • Dave Kitson 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Eustace 43'
  • goal Martin Taylor 67'
Premier League
Apr 9, 2007 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Hameur Bouazza 28' goal
  • Gavin Mahon 46' goal
  • Tamas Priskin 51' goal
  • Hameur Bouazza 73' goal
  • goal Matt Taylor 16'
Premier League
Nov 18, 2006 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Thompson 14' yellowcard
  • Kanu 44' goal
  • Lomano Tresor Lua Lua 89' goal
  • goal Jay DeMerit 32'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stewart 46'
  • yellowcard Jay DeMerit 89'