Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.