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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Millwall logo

Sunderland
1 - 0
Millwall

Hume (20')
Bellingham (13'), Mepham (26'), Isidor (69'), Watson (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emakhu (36'), Connolly (44'), De Norre (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 3-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMillwall
59.76% (0.067 0.07)22.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)17.35% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.47% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (0.195 0.2)51.03% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.11% (0.173 0.17)72.89% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.094000000000008 0.09)16.72% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.162 0.16)46.62% (-0.155 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.102 0.1)43.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.083000000000002 0.08)79.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 59.76%
    Millwall 17.35%
    Draw 22.89%
SunderlandDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.86% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 59.76%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 17.35%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Millwall

Sunderland
60.6%
Draw
30.3%
Millwall
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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