Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.