Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.