Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Slovenia win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.