Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.