League One Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • goal Kami Doyle 9'
  • goal Josh Magennis 65'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 79'

Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
Crawley 3 - 5 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
John Marquis

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Millenic Alli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result

Shrewsbury Town 21.69% (+0.35)
Draw 23.87% (+0.42)
Exeter City 54.44% (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.48% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.72% (-1.32)
Under 2.5 49.27% (+1.32)
Over 3.5 28.66% (-1.20)
Under 3.5 71.33% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 13.76% (-0.82)
Under 4.5 86.24% (+0.82)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.78% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 37.22% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 25.99% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 74% (+0.40)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 82% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 17.99% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 51.14% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 48.85% (+1.33)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 21.69%
Draw 23.87%
Exeter City 54.43%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 6.62% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 5.61% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.27% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 6.7% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 23.87%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 11.48% (+0.34)
0-2 @ 9.85% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.43%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Jason Sraha 5' yellowcard
  • Jordan Shipley 6' redcard
  • Tom Bayliss 42' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vincent Harper 27'
  • yellowcard Reece Cole 29'
  • goal Will Aimson 33'
  • goal Luke Harris 41'
  • goal Jack Aitchison 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Eisa 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Pierce Sweeney 50' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Shipley 18'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Matthew Pennington 22' goal
  • Tom Bayliss 34' goal
  • Chey Dunkley 90'+3' goal
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 17'
  • goal Jonathan Grounds 20'
League Two
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jean-Louis Akpa-Akpro 18' goal
  • James Collins 62' goal
  • Jermaine Grandison 71' yellowcard
  • Jean-Louis Akpa-Akpro 73' goal
  • Tyrone Barnett 92' goal
League Two
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Tom Nichols 46' goal
  • Matt Grimes 61' yellowcard
  • David Wheeler 75' goal
  • Graham Cummins 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Nichols 91' goal
  • David Wheeler 96' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 13'
  • yellowcard Liam Lawrence 29'
  • goal James Collins 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Grimmer 65'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Knight-Percival 70'
  • yellowcard Connor Goldson 82'