Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.