Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.